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Bamenda vs Bafang

Cameroon Cameroon

Elite One
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Tatho S.
14' Event
Nguimbat J.
25' Event
Eyong B.

AI Match Summary

The Elite One game between Bamenda and Bafang finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bamenda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Bamenda
20%
Draws
48%
Bafang
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bafang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Bafang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bamenda's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Elite One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bamenda Clean Sheet 68%
Bafang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bamenda Bafang
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Elite One
Bamenda vs Bafang
5:0
Feb 21, 2026 Elite One
Bafang vs Bamenda
1:0
May 19, 2019 Elite One
Bafang vs Bamenda
0:0
Jul 17, 2005 Elite One
Bamenda vs Bafang
1:1
Mar 13, 2005 Elite One
Bafang vs Bamenda
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bamenda Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguimbat J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eyong B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Bafang Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bamenda 59 / 100
Bafang 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bamenda Bafang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bamenda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bamenda scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Bafang lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Bafang conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bamenda VS Bafang
2.13 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bamenda

(Home)
28 Jun
Aigle Moungo
2 : 1
Bamenda
21 Jun
Bamenda
0 : 3
Dynamo Douala
14 Jun
Bamenda
1 : 2
Colombe
07 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 1
Bamenda
04 Jun
Bamenda
2 : 2
Canon Yaounde
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Bafang

(Away)
28 Jun
Bafang
2 : 7
Dynamo Douala
17 Jun
Cotonsport
3 : 0
Bafang
14 Jun
Gazelle
2 : 0
Bafang
07 Jun
Stade Renard
1 : 2
Bafang
04 Jun
Colombe
3 : 1
Bafang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombe 26 16 7 3 47:13 55
2 Dynamo Douala 26 17 4 5 54:25 55
3 Bafang 26 15 4 7 44:37 49
4 Cotonsport 26 12 8 6 37:23 44
5 Canon Yaounde 26 10 9 7 31:20 39
6 Panthere 26 10 5 11 32:26 35
7 Bamenda 26 10 4 12 41:42 34
8 Gazelle 26 9 6 11 24:29 33
9 Victoria United 26 10 3 13 33:42 33
10 Stade Renard 26 7 10 9 36:38 31
11 Aigle Moungo 26 8 6 12 25:38 30
12 Aigle Royal 26 7 8 11 30:33 29
13 AS Fortuna Mfou 26 5 6 15 20:48 21
14 Fauve Azur Elite 26 5 2 19 17:57 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Elite One (Relegation)