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Bandari vs APS Bomet

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Juma H.
90' Event
Juma H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Bandari and APS Bomet finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APS Bomet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bandari
15%
Draws
58%
APS Bomet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bandari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives APS Bomet a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bandari Clean Sheet 19%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bandari APS Bomet
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 14 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.94 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Premier League
Bandari vs APS Bomet
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Bandari
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Bandari
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 Premier League
Bandari vs APS Bomet
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bandari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

APS Bomet Compare

Top Goalscorer Juma H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandari 16 / 100
APS Bomet 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bandari APS Bomet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APS Bomet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bandari scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

APS Bomet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bandari stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bandari VS APS Bomet
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bandari

(Home)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0
Tusker
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
Page 1 of 7

APS Bomet

(Away)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)