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Bandari vs Mathare United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bandari host Mathare United in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Bandari at 0.96 goals for, 0.77 against; Mathare United at 0.96 for, 1.04 against. Head-to-head, Bandari have won 2 to Mathare United's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.44 - 0.25) back Bandari to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bandari
30%
Draws
33%
Mathare United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bandari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mathare United haven't matched Bandari's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Bandari Clean Sheet 20%
Mathare United Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bandari Mathare United
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 0.96 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premier League
Mathare United vs Bandari
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Bandari vs Mathare United
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Bandari
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Premier League
Bandari vs Mathare United
2:2
May 10, 2023 Premier League
Bandari vs Mathare United
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandari 31 / 100
Mathare United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bandari Mathare United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bandari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mathare United has conceded goals in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Bandari remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Bandari scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bandari VS Mathare United
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bandari

(Home)
19 Oct
Bandari
1 : 1
3K FC
14 Oct
Leopards
0 : 0
Bandari
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0
Tusker
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Mathare United

(Away)
17 Oct
KCB
1 : 0
Mathare United
10 Oct
Mathare United
0 : 0
APS Bomet
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1
Mathare United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mara Sugar 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
3 KCB 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Leopards 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Kakamega Homeboyz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Shabana 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Muranga 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
8 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 3K FC 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
10 Nairobi United 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
11 Bandari 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Migori 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Police FC 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 Mathare United 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 APS Bomet 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
16 Ulinzi Stars 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Mombasa United 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
18 Posta Rangers 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)