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Bandeirante vs Marilia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Vinicius R.
26' Event
Arjona M.
45' Event
Vinicius R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Bandeirante
20%
Draws
10%
Marilia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bandeirante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Bandeirante haven't matched Marilia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bandeirante's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Marilia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bandeirante, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bandeirante Clean Sheet 68%
Marilia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bandeirante Marilia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Copa Paulista
Marilia vs Bandeirante
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Copa Paulista
Bandeirante vs Marilia
3:1
Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Bandeirante
4:0
Jan 19, 2025 Paulista A3
Bandeirante vs Marilia
2:1
Feb 7, 2024 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Bandeirante
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bandeirante Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arjona M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Marilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Natan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandeirante 77 / 100
Marilia 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bandeirante Marilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bandeirante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bandeirante scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Bandeirante remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Marilia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bandeirante VS Marilia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bandeirante

(Home)
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0
Bandeirante
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0
Gremio Prudente
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
Page 1 of 6

Marilia

(Away)
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)