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Bandeirante vs XV de Jau

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bandeirante
20%
Draws
47%
XV de Jau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to XV de Jau lately — more wins on the board than Bandeirante.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bandeirante Clean Sheet 21%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bandeirante XV de Jau
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.94 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Bandeirante vs XV de Jau
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Bandeirante
0:0
Nov 25, 2020 Paulista A4
Bandeirante vs XV de Jau
2:0
Nov 22, 2020 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Bandeirante
1:1
Jun 11, 2016 Paulista A4
Bandeirante vs XV de Jau
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandeirante 32 / 100
XV de Jau 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bandeirante XV de Jau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XV de Jau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Bandeirante stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bandeirante's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

XV de Jau let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bandeirante VS XV de Jau
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bandeirante

(Home)
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0
Bandeirante
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0
Gremio Prudente
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
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XV de Jau

(Away)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)