Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu

Hatayspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bandirmaspor play Hatayspor in the 1. Lig. Bandirmaspor are favorites here. Recently, Bandirmaspor averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Hatayspor averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. In past meetings, Bandirmaspor won 3, Hatayspor won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Bandirmaspor and 0.56 for Hatayspor. This points to a Bandirmaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

Bandirmaspor

18%

Draws

14%

Hatayspor

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Bandirmaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Bandirmaspor picked up more points recently compared to Hatayspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Bandirmaspor Clean Sheet 30%

Hatayspor Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bandirmaspor	Hatayspor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	2
Draws	10	5
Losses	8	23
Goals Scored	1.13	0.8
Goals Conceded	0.9	2.73
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 1. Lig

Bandirmaspor vs Hatayspor

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Sep 28, 2025 1. Lig

Hatayspor vs Bandirmaspor

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

0:3

Apr 24, 2016 2. Lig White Group

Hatayspor vs Bandirmaspor

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Dec 13, 2015 2. Lig White Group

Bandirmaspor vs Hatayspor

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Apr 26, 2015 2. Lig Red Group

Bandirmaspor vs Hatayspor

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bandirmaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Parmak A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nukan A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Hatayspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandirmaspor 67 / 100

Hatayspor 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bandirmaspor Hatayspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bandirmaspor Win (1)

Secondary Pick Bandirmaspor & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.6%

1.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bandirmaspor attacking → ← attacking Hatayspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bandirmaspor scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Hatayspor let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Bandirmaspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hatayspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 11

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54