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Bandirmaspor vs Hatayspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu, Bandırma
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Hountondji C.
9'
Aydin E.
13'
Yilmaz C.

AI Match Summary

Bandirmaspor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bandirmaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bandirmaspor
30%
Draws
31%
Hatayspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bandirmaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bandirmaspor have won more games recently than Hatayspor.
  • Win probability leans Bandirmaspor's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Bandirmaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bandirmaspor Hatayspor
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 2
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.3 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 1. Lig
Bandirmaspor vs Hatayspor
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Bandirmaspor
0:3
Apr 24, 2016 2. Lig White Group
Hatayspor vs Bandirmaspor
3:1
Dec 13, 2015 2. Lig White Group
Bandirmaspor vs Hatayspor
2:0
Apr 26, 2015 2. Lig Red Group
Bandirmaspor vs Hatayspor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bandirmaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Parmak A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nukan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hatayspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandirmaspor 77 / 100
Hatayspor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bandirmaspor Hatayspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bandirmaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hatayspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Bandirmaspor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Bandirmaspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bandirmaspor VS Hatayspor
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bandirmaspor

(Home)
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
11 Sept
Sariyer
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
05 Sept
Bandirmaspor
6 : 0
Boluspor
01 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Antalyaspor
28 Aug
Pendikspor
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
Page 1 of 6

Hatayspor

(Away)
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0
Hatayspor
06 Sept
Hatayspor
0 : 2
Guzide Gebzespor
01 May
Hatayspor
3 : 1
Vanspor FK
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erzurumspor FK 38 23 12 3 82:27 81
2 Amedspor 38 21 11 6 81:42 74
3 Erokspor 38 21 11 6 81:35 74
4 Corum FK 38 21 8 9 63:39 71
5 Bodrumspor 38 18 10 10 71:39 64
6 Pendikspor 38 16 15 7 58:33 63
7 Keciorengucu 38 16 12 10 73:43 60
8 Bandirmaspor 38 16 12 10 47:34 60
9 Manisa FK 38 16 7 15 57:56 55
10 Sivasspor 38 14 11 13 47:43 53
11 Istanbulspor AS 38 13 13 12 57:55 52
12 Sariyer 38 15 7 16 44:44 52
13 Igdir FK 38 13 11 14 52:54 50
14 Vanspor FK 38 13 10 15 52:47 49
15 Boluspor 38 14 6 18 61:57 48
16 Umraniyespor 38 13 7 18 47:51 46
17 Serik Spor 38 11 6 21 44:75 39
18 Sakaryaspor 38 8 10 20 45:72 34
19 Hatayspor 38 2 8 28 33:102 14
20 Adanademirspor 38 1 3 34 22:169 -54
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