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Bandirmaspor vs Umraniyespor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu, Bandırma
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Glumac T.
46'
Sub
Tasci T. In: Hostikka S.
Out: Tasci T.
46'
Sub
Badji A. In: Ayhan E.
Out: Badji A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Bandirmaspor and Umraniyespor finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umraniyespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bandirmaspor
20%
Draws
29%
Umraniyespor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bandirmaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bandirmaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bandirmaspor's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bandirmaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bandirmaspor Umraniyespor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 1. Lig
Bandirmaspor vs Umraniyespor
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Bandirmaspor
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 1. Lig
Bandirmaspor vs Umraniyespor
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 1. Lig
Bandirmaspor vs Umraniyespor
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Bandirmaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bandirmaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Soukou C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandirmaspor 76 / 100
Umraniyespor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bandirmaspor Umraniyespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bandirmaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bandirmaspor's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Umraniyespor let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Bandirmaspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bandirmaspor VS Umraniyespor
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bandirmaspor

(Home)
09 Oct
Vanspor FK
0 : 2
Bandirmaspor
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
11 Sept
Sariyer
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
05 Sept
Bandirmaspor
6 : 0
Boluspor
01 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Antalyaspor
Page 1 of 6

Umraniyespor

(Away)
09 Oct
Umraniyespor
1 : 1
Sariyer
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0
Umraniyespor
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)