Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Banfield vs San Martin T.

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta
Banfield Logo

Banfield

Sat, May 9, 2026
2 - 1
12:10 AM
San Martin T. Logo

San Martin T.

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Vittor S.
30'
Pais N.
45' Event
Borasi B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Banfield
30%
Draws
41%
San Martin T.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Martin T.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Banfield come out ahead of San Martin T. on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Banfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Banfield, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Banfield Clean Sheet 14%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banfield San Martin T.
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Copa Argentina
Banfield vs San Martin T.
2:1
Oct 2, 2018 Liga Profesional
San Martin T. vs Banfield
1:1
Apr 12, 2009 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs San Martin T.
0:0
Oct 4, 2008 Liga Profesional
San Martin T. vs Banfield
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Borasi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banfield 35 / 100
San Martin T. 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banfield San Martin T.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin T. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banfield's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Martin T. conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Banfield has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Banfield VS San Martin T.
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Banfield

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2
Banfield
14 Sept
Banfield
1 : 1
Barracas Central
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2
Banfield
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3
River Plate
Page 1 of 6

San Martin T.

(Away)
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
30 Aug
San Martin T.
1 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
23 Aug
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 2
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club -
Boca Juniors -
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense -
Estudiantes L.P. -
Semi-finals
Banfield -
TBD -
Atl. Tucuman -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -