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Banfield vs San Martin T.

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Sat, May 9, 2026
2 - 1
12:10 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Vittor S.
30'
Pais N.
45' Event
Borasi B.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Argentina game between Banfield and San Martin T. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Banfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Banfield
30%
Draws
34%
San Martin T.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Banfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Banfield come out ahead of San Martin T. on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Banfield taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Banfield Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banfield San Martin T.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.83 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Copa Argentina
Banfield vs San Martin T.
2:1
Oct 2, 2018 Liga Profesional
San Martin T. vs Banfield
1:1
Apr 12, 2009 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs San Martin T.
0:0
Oct 4, 2008 Liga Profesional
San Martin T. vs Banfield
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Borasi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banfield 46 / 100
San Martin T. 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banfield San Martin T.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banfield found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Banfield has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: San Martin T. conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Banfield VS San Martin T.
0.83 Goals Scored 0.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo5
Deportivo Rincon0
Deportivo Riestra1
Deportivo Maipu0
Newells Old Boys0
Acassuso2
Gimnasia L.P.4
Deportivo Camioneros1
Banfield3
Real Pilar0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0
San Martin T.1
Godoy Cruz0
Deportivo Moron1
Argentinos Jrs1
Midland2
Racing Club1
San Martin Formosa0
Defensa y Justicia2
Chaco For Ever1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)2
Gimnasia Jujuy3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Atl. Rafaela0
Velez Sarsfield4
Deportivo Armenio1
Gimnasia Mendoza0
Gimnasia y Tiro1
Sarmiento Junin1
Tristan Suarez0
Boca Juniors2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy0
River Plate1
Ciudad Bolivar0
Aldosivi3
San Miguel0
Ind. Rivadavia2
CA Estudiantes0
Tigre2
Claypole0
Talleres Cordoba2
Argentino de Merlo0
Atl. Tucuman2
Sportivo Barracas1
Union de Santa Fe2
Agropecuario0
Independiente4
Biblioteca Atenas2
Platense1
Argentino MM0
San Martin S.J.2
Deportivo Madryn0
Instituto2
Atletico Atlanta0
Lanus4
Sarmiento de La Banda1
Estudiantes L.P.4
Ituzaingo0
Rosario Central2
Sportivo Belgrano0
Barracas Central3
Temperley2
Huracan2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo-
Deportivo Riestra-
Acassuso0
Gimnasia L.P.3
Banfield2
San Martin T.1
Deportivo Moron1
Midland2
Racing Club4
Defensa y Justicia1
Gimnasia Jujuy2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Velez Sarsfield2
Gimnasia y Tiro0
Sarmiento Junin0
Boca Juniors2
River Plate-
Aldosivi-
Ind. Rivadavia1
Tigre0
Talleres Cordoba0
Atl. Tucuman3
Union de Santa Fe0
Independiente2
Platense1
San Martin S.J.0
Instituto2
Lanus1
Estudiantes L.P.3
Rosario Central0
Barracas Central1
Huracan0
1/8-finals
TBD-
Gimnasia L.P.-
Banfield-
Midland-
Racing Club-
CA Belgrano de Cordoba-
Velez Sarsfield-
Boca Juniors-
TBD-
Ind. Rivadavia-
Atl. Tucuman-
Independiente-
Platense-
Instituto-
Estudiantes L.P.-
Barracas Central-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-