Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Banga vs FA Siauliai

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Gargzdai stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Banga play FA Siauliai in the TOPLYGA. It looks like a close match. Recently, Banga averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. FA Siauliai averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Banga won 3, FA Siauliai won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Banga and 1.06 for FA Siauliai. This points to a Banga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Banga
35%
Draws
24%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Banga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Banga picked up more points recently compared to FA Siauliai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Banga Clean Sheet 22%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banga FA Siauliai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FA Siauliai
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Banga
0:0
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
FA Siauliai vs Banga
1:4
Oct 22, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Banga
1:3
Aug 4, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FA Siauliai
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Venckus I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Naah D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banga 41 / 100
FA Siauliai 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banga FA Siauliai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Banga or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Banga attacking → ← attacking FA Siauliai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banga scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

FA Siauliai let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Banga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FA Siauliai lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 33
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Suduva1979321:1630
2Dziugas Telsiai1986528:2230
3Transinvest1885527:2229
4FK Kauno Zalgiris1877431:1528
5Zalgiris1984727:2128
6Banga1876519:1327
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys19541018:3419
9FA Siauliai19271018:3713
10Riteriai00000:00