Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Banga vs FK Panevezys

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Gargzdai stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Banga play FK Panevezys in the TOPLYGA. It looks like a close match. Recently, Banga averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. FK Panevezys averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Banga won 0, FK Panevezys won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Banga and 0.94 for FK Panevezys. This points to a FK Panevezys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Banga
29%
Draws
36%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Banga picked up more points recently compared to FK Panevezys.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Banga Clean Sheet 24%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banga FK Panevezys
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Banga
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Panevezys
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Panevezys
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Banga
1:0
May 23, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Panevezys
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Asamoah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banga 36 / 100
FK Panevezys 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banga FK Panevezys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Panevezys or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Banga attacking → ← attacking FK Panevezys

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banga scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

FK Panevezys let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Banga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FK Panevezys lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 46
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Kauno Zalgiris1987434:1531
2Suduva1979321:1630
3Dziugas Telsiai1986528:2230
4Transinvest1885527:2229
5Zalgiris1984727:2128
6Banga1876519:1327
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys20541118:3719
9FA Siauliai19271018:3713
10Riteriai00000:00