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Stadium Background

Bangkok FC vs Muang Thong Utd

Thailand Thailand

League Cup Chalerm Phrakiat Bang Mod Stadium, Bangkok
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ahannach A.
55' Event
Ahannach A.
85' Event
Tasa K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Muang Thong Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bangkok FC
11%
Draws
9%
Muang Thong Utd
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bangkok FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangkok FC come out ahead of Muang Thong Utd on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bangkok FC a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Bangkok FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Muang Thong Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bangkok FC Clean Sheet 20%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangkok FC Muang Thong Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 League Cup
Bangkok FC vs Muang Thong Utd
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangkok FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Muang Thong Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahannach A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tasa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangkok FC 76 / 100
Muang Thong Utd 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangkok FC Muang Thong Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Bangkok FC's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Muang Thong Utd has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Bangkok FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangkok FC VS Muang Thong Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangkok FC

(Home)
25 Apr
Bangkok FC
1 : 1
Trat FC
19 Apr
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 3
Bangkok FC
05 Apr
Bangkok FC
2 : 0
Nakhon Si United
20 Mar
Songkhla
3 : 0
Bangkok FC
15 Mar
Bangkok FC
1 : 0
Police Tero
Page 1 of 6

Muang Thong Utd

(Away)
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1
Pathum United
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
05 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pattani2
Ratchaburi0
Nakhon Pathom0
Uthai Thani2
Thonburi United0
Buriram United F.C.4
Samut Sakhon City0
Prachuap2
Bangkok FC0
Muang Thong Utd4
Uttaradit FC0
Pathum United4
Mahasarakham2
Rayong FC1
Lopburi City1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2
Satun FC0
Lamphun Warrior2
Nong Bua Pitchaya1
Chonburi5
Thap Luang United1
Chiangrai Utd0
Customs Utd2
Sukhothai3
Chainat Hornbill0
Port MTI FC5
Bankhai United0
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United1
Kanchanaburi0
Pattaya United0
Bangkok Utd3
1/8-finals
Pattani2
Uthai Thani1
Buriram United F.C.3
Prachuap2
Muang Thong Utd0
Pathum United2
Mahasarakham2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Lamphun Warrior0
Chonburi3
Thap Luang United1
Sukhothai0
Port MTI FC2
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United3
Bangkok Utd2
Quarter-finals
Pattani0
Buriram United F.C.3
Pathum United3
Mahasarakham0
Chonburi1
Thap Luang United0
Port MTI FC7
Khonkaen United0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C.0
Pathum United1
Chonburi3
Port MTI FC4
Final
Pathum United0
Port MTI FC1