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Bangkok FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Chalerm Phrakiat Bang Mod Stadium, Bangkok
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Huatwiset W.
Own Goal
30' Event
Capistrano J.
65' Event
Mermoz A.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Bangkok FC and Nong Bua Pitchaya finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bangkok FC
6%
Draws
4%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bangkok FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bangkok FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bangkok FC Clean Sheet 13%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangkok FC Nong Bua Pitchaya
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
0:3
Sep 14, 2025 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Bangkok FC
3:2
Oct 21, 2017 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:2
Feb 12, 2017 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Bangkok FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangkok FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Capistrano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mermoz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangkok FC 84 / 100
Nong Bua Pitchaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangkok FC Nong Bua Pitchaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nong Bua Pitchaya let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Bangkok FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Bangkok FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangkok FC VS Nong Bua Pitchaya
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangkok FC

(Home)
25 Apr
Bangkok FC
1 : 1
Trat FC
19 Apr
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 3
Bangkok FC
05 Apr
Bangkok FC
2 : 0
Nakhon Si United
20 Mar
Songkhla
3 : 0
Bangkok FC
15 Mar
Bangkok FC
1 : 0
Police Tero
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Nong Bua Pitchaya

(Away)
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1
Pattani
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1
Police Tero
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3
Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)