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Bangkok Utd vs Ayutthaya United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bangkok Utd host Ayutthaya United in the Thai League 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Bangkok Utd have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Ayutthaya United's 1 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Bangkok Utd have won 1 to Ayutthaya United's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (2.19 - 0.81) back Bangkok Utd to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bangkok Utd
15%
Draws
37%
Ayutthaya United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangkok Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayutthaya United haven't matched Bangkok Utd's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Bangkok Utd taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangkok Utd Ayutthaya United
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Ayutthaya United
4:1
Dec 14, 2025 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Bangkok Utd
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangkok Utd 85 / 100
Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangkok Utd Ayutthaya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangkok Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bangkok Utd scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Ayutthaya United has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Bangkok Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bangkok Utd VS Ayutthaya United
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangkok Utd

(Home)
21 Oct
Bangkok Utd
8 : 0
Old Blood
18 Oct
Bangkok Utd
0 : 2
Port MTI FC
11 Oct
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 2
Bangkok Utd
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 6

Ayutthaya United

(Away)
21 Oct
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Muang Thong Utd
16 Oct
Ayutthaya United
0 : 2
Lamphun Warrior
10 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 1
Ayutthaya United
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port MTI FC 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
2 Buriram United F.C. 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
3 Prachuap 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Ratchaburi 6 3 1 2 12:6 10
5 Uthai Thani 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6 Sisaket United 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
7 Pathum United 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
8 Bangkok Utd 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
9 Rayong FC 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
10 Ayutthaya United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Sukhothai 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
12 Lamphun Warrior 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
13 Chiangrai Utd 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
14 Pattani 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
15 Chonburi 6 1 0 5 6:10 3
16 Rasisalai United 5 0 1 4 7:15 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)