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Bangkok Utd vs Port MTI FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rivaldinho
Assist: Pomphan W.
47'
Everton
54'
Sub
Maia P. In: Bihr M.
Out: Maia P.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Bangkok Utd and Port MTI FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bangkok Utd
11%
Draws
80%
Port MTI FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Port MTI FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Port MTI FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Port MTI FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 13%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangkok Utd Port MTI FC
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 19
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 0.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Port MTI FC
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Port MTI FC vs Bangkok Utd
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Bangkok Utd
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Bangkok Utd
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Port MTI FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangkok Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivaldinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lins M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangkok Utd 11 / 100
Port MTI FC 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangkok Utd Port MTI FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bangkok Utd scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Bangkok Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Port MTI FC conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bangkok Utd VS Port MTI FC
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangkok Utd

(Home)
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
29 Apr
Uthai Thani
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
25 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
2 : 0
Bangkok Utd
22 Apr
Svay Rieng
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
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Port MTI FC

(Away)
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0
Pathum United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2026/2027 (Main)