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Bangladesh vs Bhutan Prediction & H2H Stats

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Friendly International 2025 Bangabandhu National Stadium, Dhaka
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Choudhury H.
49' Event
Rana S.
60'
Sub
Hossain R. In: Amin A.
Out: Hossain R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Bangladesh and Bhutan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangladesh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bangladesh
15%
Draws
42%
Bhutan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangladesh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangladesh come out ahead of Bhutan on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Bangladesh taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bangladesh have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bangladesh Clean Sheet 68%
Bhutan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh Bhutan
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.06 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 Friendly International
Bangladesh vs Bhutan
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Friendly International
Bhutan vs Bangladesh
1:0
Sep 5, 2024 Friendly International
Bhutan vs Bangladesh
0:1
Jun 28, 2023 SAFF Championship
Bhutan vs Bangladesh
1:3
Oct 3, 2019 Friendly International
Bangladesh vs Bhutan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh Compare

Top Goalscorer Choudhury H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rana S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Bhutan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh 95 / 100
Bhutan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh Bhutan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bhutan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bhutan's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bangladesh found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh VS Bhutan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh

(Home)
01 Oct
Indonesia
9 : 2
Bangladesh
28 Sept
Singapore
1 : 0
Bangladesh
25 Sept
Bangladesh
0 : 3
Malaysia
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
Singapore
1 : 0
Bangladesh
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Bhutan

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0
Bhutan
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1
Bhutan
13 Nov
India
6 : 1
Bhutan
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