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Bangladesh W vs North Korea W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women CommBank Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Kim Kyong-Yong
27'
Han Jin-Hong
31'
Shamsunnahar S. I.

AI Match Summary

North Korea W in this Asian Cup Women tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bangladesh W
6%
Draws
90%
North Korea W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bangladesh W haven't matched North Korea W's recent run of results.
  • North Korea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • North Korea W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor North Korea W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bangladesh W Clean Sheet 10%
North Korea W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh W North Korea W
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 15 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.13 4
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Bangladesh W vs North Korea W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

North Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Kyong-Yong
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chae Un-Yong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh W 10 / 100
North Korea W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh W North Korea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Bangladesh W scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

North Korea W has conceded goals in 31% of their last 26 outings.

Bangladesh W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh W VS North Korea W
1.13 Goals Scored 4
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh W

(Home)
06 Jun
Bangladesh W
1 : 3
India W
03 Jun
Nepal W
1 : 2
Bangladesh W
31 May
India W
3 : 0
Bangladesh W
28 May
Bangladesh W
4 : 2
Maldives W
09 Mar
Bangladesh W
0 : 4
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 7

North Korea W

(Away)
19 Mar
Chinese Taipei W
0 : 4
North Korea W
13 Mar
Australia W
2 : 1
North Korea W
09 Mar
North Korea W
1 : 2
China W
06 Mar
Bangladesh W
0 : 5
North Korea W
03 Mar
North Korea W
3 : 0
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea W32109:37
2Australia W32108:37
3Philippines W31022:43
4Iran W30030:90
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China W33007:19
2North Korea W32019:26
3Uzbekistan W31024:63
4Bangladesh W30030:110
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan W330017:09
2Chinese Taipei W32014:36
3Vietnam W31022:63
4India W30032:160
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams