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Bangladesh W vs South Korea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Yanmar Stadium Nagai, Osaka
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Match Events

16' Event
Kim Min-Ji
Assist: Kim Hye-Ri
42' Event
Jeong Da-Bin
Assist: Yoon Su-Jeong
54'
Sub
Kim Min-Ji In: Han Da-In
Out: Kim Min-Ji

AI Match Summary

South Korea W in this Asian Games Women matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Korea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bangladesh W
20%
Draws
57%
South Korea W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Korea W lately — more wins on the board than Bangladesh W.
  • South Korea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bangladesh W Clean Sheet 10%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh W South Korea W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.97 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Asian Games Women
Bangladesh W vs South Korea W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

South Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Min-Ji
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeong Da-Bin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.5
Avg xA / game 2.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh W 10 / 100
South Korea W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh W South Korea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bangladesh W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

South Korea W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Bangladesh W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh W VS South Korea W
1 Goals Scored 4.13
3.57 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh W

(Home)
21 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 0
Myanmar W
17 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 6
South Korea W
14 Sept
North Korea W
10 : 0
Bangladesh W
06 Jun
Bangladesh W
1 : 3
India W
03 Jun
Nepal W
1 : 2
Bangladesh W
Page 1 of 6

South Korea W

(Away)
02 Oct
China W
0 : 1
South Korea W
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0
South Korea W
25 Sept
South Korea W
6 : 3
Uzbekistan W
21 Sept
South Korea W
1 : 1
North Korea W
17 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 6
South Korea W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 20:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
3 Vietnam W 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 1 2 0:9 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 2 1 0 19:1 7
2 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Myanmar W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 1 2 0:16 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Uzbekistan W 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Hong Kong W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams