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Bangor Amateurs FC vs Tullycarnet

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bangor Amateurs FC play Tullycarnet in the Irish Cup 2018/2019. Tullycarnet are favorites here. Recently, Bangor Amateurs FC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Tullycarnet averaged 2.43 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, Bangor Amateurs FC won 0, Tullycarnet won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 29, 2018 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.70 for Bangor Amateurs FC and 2.30 for Tullycarnet. This points to a Tullycarnet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Bangor Amateurs FC
15%
Draws
70%
Tullycarnet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tullycarnet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bangor Amateurs FC picked up more points recently compared to Tullycarnet.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.70 vs 2.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Bangor Amateurs FC Clean Sheet 10%
Tullycarnet Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor Amateurs FC Tullycarnet
Matches Played 6 7
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 0.83 2.43
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.17 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2018 Irish Cup
Bangor Amateurs FC vs Tullycarnet
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor Amateurs FC 16 / 100
Tullycarnet 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor Amateurs FC Tullycarnet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tullycarnet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Tullycarnet & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bangor Amateurs FC attacking → ← attacking Tullycarnet

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor Amateurs FC scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Tullycarnet let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Bangor Amateurs FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tullycarnet lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 15
0.83 Goals expected (xG) 2.43
2.17 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.57