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Cymru North 2021/2022 Nantporth Stadium

Conwy Borough

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bangor City play Conwy Borough in the Cymru North 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bangor City averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. Conwy Borough averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Bangor City won 2, Conwy Borough won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 26, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Bangor City and 1.30 for Conwy Borough. This points to a Conwy Borough double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Bangor City

26%

Draws

38%

Conwy Borough

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Conwy Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Bangor City picked up more points recently compared to Conwy Borough.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Bangor City Clean Sheet 19%

Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bangor City	Conwy Borough
Matches Played	14	30
Wins	3	8
Draws	3	6
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	1.93	1.37
Goals Conceded	2.21	2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 Cymru North

Bangor City vs Conwy Borough

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Oct 22, 2021 Cymru North

Conwy Borough vs Bangor City

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

4:2

Feb 18, 2020 Cymru North

Bangor City vs Conwy Borough

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sep 4, 2019 League Cup

Conwy Borough vs Bangor City

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Aug 24, 2019 Cymru North

Conwy Borough vs Bangor City

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor City 36 / 100

Conwy Borough 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bangor City Conwy Borough

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Conwy Borough or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bangor City attacking → ← attacking Conwy Borough

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor City scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Conwy Borough let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Bangor City went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Conwy Borough lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 30

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Airbus UK Broughton FC	28	23	3	2	85:23	72
2	Llandudno FC	28	20	3	5	55:21	63
3	Guilsfield	28	14	10	4	51:24	52
4	Holywell Town FC	28	15	5	8	68:36	50
5	Ruthin Town	28	15	4	9	51:34	49
6	Colwyn Bay	28	15	3	10	60:40	48
7	Holyhead	28	11	8	9	41:34	41
8	Buckley	28	11	7	10	48:48	40
9	Penrhyncoch	28	9	8	11	39:57	35
10	Conwy Borough	28	8	8	12	42:59	32
11	Gresford	28	8	7	13	39:42	31
12	Llanidloes Town	28	7	7	14	44:59	28
13	Prestatyn	28	5	5	18	34:68	20
14	Llangefni	28	3	6	19	19:70	15
15	Llanrhaeadr	28	2	4	22	23:84	10
16	Bangor City	0	0	0	0	0:0	-15