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Bangor City vs Holyhead Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

League Cup 2021/2022 Nantporth Stadium, Bangor
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Boss A.
58' Event
58' Event

AI Match Summary

Bangor City in this League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bangor City
15%
Draws
85%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Holyhead have won more games recently than Bangor City.
  • Model gives Bangor City a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Holyhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bangor City, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bangor City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bangor City Clean Sheet 20%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor City Holyhead
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2022 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Bangor City
0:0
Aug 20, 2021 Cymru North
Bangor City vs Holyhead
3:1
Jul 16, 2021 League Cup
Bangor City vs Holyhead
4:0
Jan 18, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Bangor City
1:4
Dec 7, 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Bangor City vs Holyhead
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangor City Compare

Top Goalscorer Boss A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Holyhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor City 67 / 100
Holyhead 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor City Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangor City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holyhead conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Bangor City's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Difficult form: Holyhead registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holyhead
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangor City

(Home)
20 Nov
Bangor City
0 : 3
Colwyn Bay
06 Nov
Llanidloes Town
5 : 2
Bangor City
22 Oct
Conwy Borough
4 : 2
Bangor City
09 Oct
Bangor City
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
25 Sept
Pure Swansea
1 : 0
Bangor City
Page 1 of 3

Holyhead

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Llanidloes Town 2
Gresford 3
Bangor City 4
Holyhead 0
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Cambrian United 4
Carmarthen Town 1
TBD -
Newtown -
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llandudno FC 4
Denbigh 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Guilsfield 1
TBD -
Buckley -
Llangefni 1
Prestatyn 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Conwy Borough -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Undy -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Pure Swansea -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Ammanford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
Llanelli 5
Newport 0
Trefelin 2
Taffs Well 0
Llantwit Major 3
Risca United 4
Llanrhaeadr 1
Penrhyncoch 4
TBD -
TNS -
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Afan Lido 0
Briton Ferry 2
Pontypridd United 3
1/16-finals
Gresford 0
Bangor City 1
Flint Town 1
Bala 2
Cambrian United 2
Newtown 4
Ruthin Town 0
Caernarfon 3
Llandudno FC 0
Connahs Q. 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 3
Cefn Druids 0
Conwy Borough 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Goytre Utd 0
Undy 2
Pure Swansea 1
Aberystwyth 2
Penybont 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Barry Town 5
Llanelli 0
Trefelin 2
Risca United 0
Penrhyncoch 2
TNS 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Pontypridd United 2
1/8-finals
Bangor City 0
Bala 1
Newtown 5
Caernarfon 0
Connahs Q. 6
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Prestatyn 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Haverfordwest 5
Undy 0
Aberystwyth 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Barry Town 3
Trefelin 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Pontypridd United 3
Quarter-finals
Bala 3
Newtown 1
Connahs Q. 4
Holywell Town FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Barry Town 7
Pontypridd United 1
Semi-finals
Bala 1
Connahs Q. 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 2
Final
Connahs Q. 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0