Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Cesar C.
86'
86'
Fonseca D.
86'
86'
Rodolfo
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bangu U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- America RJ U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Bangu U20 a 50% chance of winning this.
- America RJ U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor America RJ U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors America RJ U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bangu U20 Clean Sheet 16%
America RJ U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bangu U20 | America RJ U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Bangu U20
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Bangu U20 vs America RJ U20
1:2
Apr 7, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Bangu U20 vs America RJ U20
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bangu U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Cesar C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
America RJ U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Fonseca D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bangu U20 48 / 100
America RJ U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bangu U20 America RJ U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: America RJ U20 conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Bangu U20's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Bangu U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bangu U20 VS America RJ U20
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bangu U20
(Home) 17 Apr
America RJ U20
4 : 2 Bangu U20
11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2 America RJ U20
04 Apr
Bangu U20
2 : 0 Volta Redonda U20
28 Mar
Olaria U20
0 : 1 Bangu U20
25 Mar
Bangu U20
3 : 0 Boavista U20
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11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2 America RJ U20
04 Apr
Bangu U20
2 : 0 Volta Redonda U20
25 Mar
Bangu U20
3 : 0 Boavista U20
21 Mar
Bangu U20
1 : 0 Resende U20
14 Mar
Bangu U20
0 : 1 Botafogo RJ U20
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America RJ U20
(Away) 10 May
America RJ U20
0 : 1 Vasco U20
02 May
Vasco U20
4 : 1 America RJ U20
17 Apr
America RJ U20
4 : 2 Bangu U20
11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2 America RJ U20
05 Apr
Marica U20
0 : 1 America RJ U20
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02 May
Vasco U20
4 : 1 America RJ U20
11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2 America RJ U20
05 Apr
Marica U20
0 : 1 America RJ U20
25 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
2 : 3 America RJ U20
14 Mar
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 0 America RJ U20
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo RJ U20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Vasco U20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Marica U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Boavista U20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 5 | America RJ U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Artsul U20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 7 | Americano RJ U20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 8 | Bangu U20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Resende U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ U20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Fluminense U20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Nova Iguacu U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Madureira U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Volta Redonda U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:13 | 5 |
| 8 | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)