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Bangu U20 vs Madureira U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bangu U20 host Madureira U20 in the Carioca U20. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Madureira U20 have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Bangu U20 have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Bangu U20 have won 1 to Madureira U20's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2025, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Madureira U20. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bangu U20
35%
Draws
19%
Madureira U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangu U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangu U20 come out ahead of Madureira U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bangu U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Madureira U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bangu U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangu U20 Madureira U20
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Bangu U20
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Bangu U20
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Carioca U20
Bangu U20 vs Madureira U20
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Bangu U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangu U20 85 / 100
Madureira U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangu U20 Madureira U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangu U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madureira U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Bangu U20's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Bangu U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangu U20 VS Madureira U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangu U20

(Home)
09 Oct
Boavista U20
1 : 4
Bangu U20
02 Oct
Bangu U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
26 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
0 : 3
Bangu U20
19 Sept
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Bangu U20
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Madureira U20

(Away)
10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Madureira U20
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 10 8 2 0 26:7 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 9 8 0 1 25:8 24
3 Vasco U20 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
4 Botafogo RJ U20 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 4 3 3 13:18 15
6 Bangu U20 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
7 Nova Iguacu U20 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
8 Madureira U20 10 1 7 2 11:14 10
9 Marica U20 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
10 Boavista U20 10 2 2 6 12:21 8
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)