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Bangu vs Cabofriense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Cristiano
63' Event
Anderson Penna

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 2025 game between Bangu and Cabofriense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bangu
35%
Draws
19%
Cabofriense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangu come out ahead of Cabofriense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bangu's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bangu Clean Sheet 68%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangu Cabofriense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Carioca 2
Bangu vs Cabofriense
2:0
Nov 7, 2020 Serie D
Cabofriense vs Bangu
2:1
Oct 3, 2020 Serie D
Bangu vs Cabofriense
2:2
Jul 1, 2020 Carioca
Bangu vs Cabofriense
1:0
Jan 31, 2019 Carioca
Bangu vs Cabofriense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangu Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristiano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson Penna
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49

Cabofriense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangu 51 / 100
Cabofriense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangu Cabofriense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangu found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Cabofriense has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Bangu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bangu VS Cabofriense
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangu

(Home)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1
Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1
Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 6

Cabofriense

(Away)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Goncalo 11 5 4 2 13:8 19
2 Bangu 11 4 4 3 11:8 16
3 CEAC/Araruama 11 4 4 3 8:9 16
4 Olaria 11 4 3 4 14:10 15
5 Resende 11 4 3 4 8:10 15
6 America RJ 11 3 5 3 7:7 14
7 Cabofriense 11 3 5 3 9:10 14
8 Perolas Negras 11 3 4 4 10:10 13
9 Americano 11 4 4 3 13:10 12
10 Audax RJ 11 3 3 5 11:15 12
11 Duque de Caxias 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
12 Goncalense 11 2 6 3 9:12 12
Promotion - Carioca 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 2025 (Main)