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Bangu vs Goncalense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025 Estadio Proletario Guilherme da Silveira Filho (Moca Bonita), Rio de Janeiro
Bangu Logo

Bangu

0 - 0
FT
Goncalense Logo

Goncalense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bangu
30%
Draws
31%
Goncalense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bangu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Goncalense haven't matched Bangu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Goncalense a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bangu Clean Sheet 20%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangu Goncalense
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
Bangu vs Goncalense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangu 24 / 100
Goncalense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangu Goncalense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangu found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Goncalense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Bangu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Goncalense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangu VS Goncalense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangu

(Home)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1
Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1
Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0
Volta Redonda
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Goncalense

(Away)
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Bonsucesso
1 : 1
Goncalense
25 Oct
Serrano FC
2 : 1
Goncalense
18 Oct
Goncalense
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Goncalo 11 5 4 2 13:8 19
2 Bangu 11 4 4 3 11:8 16
3 CEAC/Araruama 11 4 4 3 8:9 16
4 Olaria 11 4 3 4 14:10 15
5 Resende 11 4 3 4 8:10 15
6 America RJ 11 3 5 3 7:7 14
7 Cabofriense 11 3 5 3 9:10 14
8 Perolas Negras 11 3 4 4 10:10 13
9 Americano 11 4 4 3 13:10 12
10 Audax RJ 11 3 3 5 11:15 12
11 Duque de Caxias 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
12 Goncalense 11 2 6 3 9:12 12
Promotion - Carioca 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 2025 (Main)