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Bani Yas vs Al Nasr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Baniyas Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bani Yas host Al Nasr in the UAE League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Nasr have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Bani Yas have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.24. Past meetings favor Bani Yas slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 23, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring Al Nasr. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bani Yas
15%
Draws
45%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Bani Yas haven't matched Al Nasr's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bani Yas Clean Sheet 13%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bani Yas Al Nasr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2026 Presidents Cup
Al Nasr vs Bani Yas
0:1
Jan 29, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Bani Yas
0:2
Jan 2, 2026 UAE League
Bani Yas vs Al Nasr
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Nasr vs Bani Yas
0:2
Feb 9, 2025 UAE League
Bani Yas vs Al Nasr
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bani Yas 27 / 100
Al Nasr 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bani Yas Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bani Yas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Al Nasr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Bani Yas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bani Yas VS Al Nasr
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bani Yas

(Home)
23 Oct
Al Nasr
0 : 1
Bani Yas
16 Oct
Bani Yas
0 : 2
Al Wasl
09 Oct
Ajman
1 : 0
Bani Yas
01 Oct
Bani Yas
3 : 1
Al Wahda
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
Page 1 of 6

Al Nasr

(Away)
23 Oct
Al Nasr
0 : 1
Bani Yas
17 Oct
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Hatta
13 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 0
Al Riffa
08 Oct
Al Nasr
4 : 1
Hatta
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Al Wasl 6 4 1 1 17:6 13
4 Al Ain 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
5 Al Wahda 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
6 Al Sharjah 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
7 Ajman 6 3 0 3 12:15 9
8 Al Nasr 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 United FC 6 2 1 3 13:18 7
10 Al Dhafra 6 2 0 4 8:10 6
11 Ittihad Kalba 6 1 2 3 8:15 5
12 Khorfakkan 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
13 Hatta 6 1 0 5 5:13 3
14 Bani Yas 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)