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Banos vs Dep. Cuenca

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Leguizamon N.
73' Event
Morocho S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Dep. Cuenca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Banos
15%
Draws
28%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Banos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cuenca come out ahead of Banos on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Banos taking it.
  • Dep. Cuenca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dep. Cuenca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Banos Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banos Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Banos vs Dep. Cuenca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Leguizamon N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morocho S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banos 68 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banos Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Banos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banos found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).

Dep. Cuenca let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Dep. Cuenca lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Banos VS Dep. Cuenca
0 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Banos

(Home)
12 May
Banos
0 : 2
Delfin
22 Apr
Banos
2 : 1
Anaconda
08 Aug
Banos
0 : 2
Dep. Cuenca
07 Jun
Banos
3 : 2
Huaquillas FC
21 Jul
Banos
1 : 2
EL Nacional
Page 1 of 2

Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Emelec
22 Jul
Macara
3 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
18 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 2
U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Club Deportivo Ibarra 0
San Antonio 1
Manta -
TBD -
Liga De Macas 2
Olmedo 3
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Ecuagenera 2
Cumbaya 1
Aucas -
TBD -
Banos 3
Huaquillas FC 2
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
Luz Valdivia 1
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Delfin -
TBD -
CD San Camilo 0
Guayaquil City 1
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Leones del Norte 4
Sembrando Buenos Campeones 0
Orense -
TBD -
CD Miguel Iturralde 2
Patria 1
Emelec -
TBD -
Gualaceo 2
Mineros 0
Vinotinto -
TBD -
La Troncal FC 1
Imbabura 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Independiente Juniors 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Macara -
TBD -
Rio Aguarico 2
Club Sportivo Loja 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Atletico Vinotinto 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
La Cantera 4
Montufar Futbol Club 1
Libertad -
TBD -
Club Deportivo Panamericana 0
Nueve de Octubre 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Deportivo Coca 0
22 de Julio 3
EL Nacional -
TBD -
1/16-finals
San Antonio 1
Manta 0
Olmedo 1
LDU Quito 2
Ecuagenera 0
Aucas 1
Banos 0
Dep. Cuenca 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 3
Delfin 2
Guayaquil City 3
Mushuc Runa 1
Leones del Norte 1
Orense 0
CD Miguel Iturralde 1
Emelec 2
Gualaceo 2
Vinotinto 1
Imbabura 0
Independiente del Valle 1
LDU Portoviejo 1
Macara 0
Rio Aguarico 0
U. Catolica 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 2
Barcelona SC 0
La Cantera 1
Libertad 0
Nueve de Octubre 1
Tecnico U. 0
22 de Julio 0
EL Nacional 3
1/8-finals
San Antonio 0
LDU Quito 4
Aucas 1
Dep. Cuenca 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Guayaquil City 3
Leones del Norte 0
Emelec 1
Gualaceo 0
Independiente del Valle 6
LDU Portoviejo 1
U. Catolica 3
CD Cuenca Juniors 6
La Cantera 1
Nueve de Octubre 2
EL Nacional 1
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 2
Dep. Cuenca 0
Guayaquil City 0
Emelec 1
Independiente del Valle 1
U. Catolica 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 2
Nueve de Octubre 1
Semi-finals
LDU Quito 3
Emelec 2
U. Catolica 4
CD Cuenca Juniors 1
Final
LDU Quito 2
U. Catolica 3