Sport Picks
Bansko vs CSKA Sofia III
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Bansko and CSKA Sofia III finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bansko.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bansko
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Bansko carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Bansko taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bansko here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bansko Clean Sheet 16%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bansko | CSKA Sofia III |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs CSKA Sofia III
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Bansko
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs CSKA Sofia III
2:0
Aug 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Bansko
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bansko 36 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bansko CSKA Sofia III
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bansko found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
CSKA Sofia III let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Bansko went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bansko VS CSKA Sofia III
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bansko
(Home) 12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Bansko
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2 Bansko
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1 Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1 Pirin Razlog
01 Aug
Bansko
3 : 0 Chavdar Etropole
29 May
Bansko
0 : 2 Balkan Botevgrad
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CSKA Sofia III
(Away) 12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2 Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
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12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
01 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia III
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
