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Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bansko play Septemvri Simitli in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bansko averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Septemvri Simitli averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Bansko won 2, Septemvri Simitli won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Bansko and 1.19 for Septemvri Simitli. This points to a Bansko double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bansko
39%
Draws
30%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bansko.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bansko Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bansko Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Bansko
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Bansko
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli
3:0
Mar 23, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Bansko
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bansko 32 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bansko Septemvri Simitli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bansko scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Bansko went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Septemvri Simitli lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bansko VS Septemvri Simitli
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238