Sport Picks
Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Bansko in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bansko.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bansko
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Bansko haven't matched Septemvri Simitli's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Bansko's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bansko Clean Sheet 14%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bansko | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Bansko
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Bansko
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli
3:0
Mar 23, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Bansko
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bansko 84 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bansko Septemvri Simitli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bansko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Bansko remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Bansko's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Bansko VS Septemvri Simitli
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bansko
(Home) 29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2 Bansko
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1 Pirin Razlog
08 Aug
Natsional Sofia
2 : 2 Bansko
01 Aug
Bansko
3 : 0 Chavdar Etropole
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29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1 Pirin Razlog
01 Aug
Bansko
3 : 0 Chavdar Etropole
29 May
Bansko
0 : 2 Balkan Botevgrad
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1 Germaneya
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Septemvri Simitli
(Away) 29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3 Natsional Sofia
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
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22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3 Septemvri Simitli
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0 Septemvri Simitli
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3 Septemvri Simitli
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
