Sport Picks
Barakaldo vs Real Aviles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo 
Match Events
4'
4'
17'
17'
Mayo S.
21'
21'
Sub
Alday I. In: Rodriguez Y.
Out: Alday I.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Barakaldo and Real Aviles finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Real Aviles haven't matched Barakaldo's recent run of results.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 15%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barakaldo | Real Aviles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Real Aviles
3:3
May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Barakaldo
1:4
Dec 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Real Aviles
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Barakaldo vs Real Aviles
1:4
Sep 10, 2014 Copa del Rey
Real Aviles vs Barakaldo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barakaldo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mattheus C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mateos E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Real Aviles Compare
Top Goalscorer Cayarga B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Santamaria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barakaldo 35 / 100
Real Aviles 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barakaldo Real Aviles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Aviles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Aviles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Barakaldo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Barakaldo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barakaldo VS Real Aviles
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barakaldo
(Home) 03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3 Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0 Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3 Real Aviles
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0 Leonesa
12 Aug
Barakaldo
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 3
Real Aviles
(Away) 02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2 Lugo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3 Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1 Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1 Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3 Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1 Real Aviles
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1 Real Aviles
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2 Real Aviles
13 Aug
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 1 Real Aviles
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 16 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereno | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Union | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo Fabril | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Leonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 13 | CD Extremadura | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | AD Merida | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Aviles | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:10 | 2 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:14 | 2 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
