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Baraunas vs Potyguar Seridoense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Joao Varolo

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2 2025 game between Baraunas and Potyguar Seridoense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baraunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Baraunas
15%
Draws
26%
Potyguar Seridoense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baraunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Baraunas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Baraunas a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Baraunas here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Baraunas Clean Sheet 20%
Potyguar Seridoense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baraunas Potyguar Seridoense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 0.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Potiguar 2
Potyguar Seridoense vs Baraunas
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Potiguar 2
Baraunas vs Potyguar Seridoense
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs Baraunas
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baraunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Varolo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Potyguar Seridoense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baraunas 85 / 100
Potyguar Seridoense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baraunas Potyguar Seridoense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baraunas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baraunas scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Potyguar Seridoense let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Baraunas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baraunas VS Potyguar Seridoense
1.43 Goals Scored 1.25
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baraunas

(Home)
23 Nov
QFC
2 : 1
Baraunas
18 Nov
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Baraunas
09 Nov
Baraunas
3 : 1
Mossoro
02 Nov
Baraunas
1 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
29 Oct
Alecrim
0 : 2
Baraunas
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Potyguar Seridoense

(Away)
08 Feb
Laguna RN
2 : 2
Potyguar Seridoense
04 Feb
QFC
4 : 1
Potyguar Seridoense
31 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
2 : 4
ABC
25 Jan
Potiguar de Mossoró
2 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
18 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Globo FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 QFC 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Mossoro 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
3 Baraunas 6 4 0 2 8:4 12
4 Potyguar Seridoense 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
5 Alecrim 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
6 Visao Celeste 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
7 Univap 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
Promotion - Potiguar 2 2025 (Second stage)