Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barbadas-Bentraces vs Arzua

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Justo Castro J. M.
90' Event
Miranda P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Barbadas-Bentraces and Arzua finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barbadas-Bentraces.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Barbadas-Bentraces
15%
Draws
42%
Arzua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barbadas-Bentraces

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Barbadas-Bentraces carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arzua are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Barbadas-Bentraces Clean Sheet 20%
Arzua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbadas-Bentraces Arzua
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 0.72 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Arzua
2:0
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Barbadas-Bentraces
2:0
Aug 20, 2023 Club Friendly
Arzua vs Barbadas-Bentraces
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbadas-Bentraces Compare

Top Goalscorer Justo Castro J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Arzua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbadas-Bentraces 28 / 100
Arzua 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbadas-Bentraces Arzua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzua let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Barbadas-Bentraces's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Arzua's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Barbadas-Bentraces VS Arzua
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbadas-Bentraces

(Home)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 8

Arzua

(Away)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)