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Barbados vs Bahamas

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Adderley B.
8' Event
Applewhaite A.
14' Event
Reid-Stephen N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Barbados and Bahamas finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barbados.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Barbados
15%
Draws
0%
Bahamas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barbados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Barbados carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Barbados's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Barbados here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Barbados Clean Sheet 20%
Bahamas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados Bahamas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.57 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.37 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs Bahamas
6:2
Sep 7, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bahamas vs Barbados
2:3
Nov 19, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Bahamas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados Compare

Top Goalscorer Applewhaite A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hoyte S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Bahamas Compare

Top Goalscorer Adderley B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 85 / 100
Bahamas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados Bahamas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barbados Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahamas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Difficult form: Bahamas registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Barbados scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS Bahamas
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados

(Home)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
Page 1 of 6

Bahamas

(Away)
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
26 Mar
Bahamas
1 : 3
Anguilla
15 Nov
Bahamas
0 : 6
British Virgin Islands
12 Nov
Bahamas
1 : 2
Anguilla
07 Jun
Bahamas
0 : 8
Costa Rica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barbados 4 4 0 0 17:4 12
2 Bahamas 4 1 1 2 10:13 4
3 United States Virgin Islands 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belize 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
2 Anguilla 4 1 0 3 3:4 3
3 Turks and Caicos Islands 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Cayman Islands 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
3 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams