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Barbados vs Guadeloupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barbados host Guadeloupe in the CONCACAF Nations League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Barbados have averaged 1.72 scored and 2.31 conceded recently, against Guadeloupe's 1.97 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Barbados have won 0 to Guadeloupe's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.56, favoring Guadeloupe. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Barbados
20%
Draws
23%
Guadeloupe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barbados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadeloupe come out ahead of Barbados on wins alone.
  • Model gives Barbados a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barbados Clean Sheet 15%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados Guadeloupe
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Barbados
2:2
Jun 12, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Barbados
2:1
Jun 9, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs Guadeloupe
0:1
Nov 13, 2002 Gold Cup
Barbados vs Guadeloupe
0:1
Apr 8, 1994 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Guadeloupe
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 84 / 100
Guadeloupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados Guadeloupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barbados Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbados scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Barbados went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Guadeloupe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS Guadeloupe
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados

(Home)
06 Oct
Bermuda
1 : 2
Barbados
03 Oct
Barbados
4 : 1
Bermuda
28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2
Barbados
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0
Saint Lucia
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
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Guadeloupe

(Away)
05 Oct
Guadeloupe
0 : 1
Saint Lucia
02 Oct
Saint Lucia
3 : 0
Guadeloupe
28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2
Barbados
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3
Guatemala
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