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Barbados vs Nicaragua

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Lashley A.
6'
Arteaga J.
22' Event
Arteaga J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Barbados and Nicaragua finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nicaragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Barbados
15%
Draws
12%
Nicaragua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barbados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nicaragua come out ahead of Barbados on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Barbados's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nicaragua have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barbados Clean Sheet 20%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados Nicaragua
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.46 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs Nicaragua
0:4
Sep 12, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua vs Barbados
5:1
Mar 25, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs Nicaragua
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Nicaragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coronel L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 49 / 100
Nicaragua 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados Nicaragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barbados Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Barbados's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nicaragua conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Nicaragua has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS Nicaragua
1.14 Goals Scored 0.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 2.25
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados

(Home)
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0
Saint Lucia
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
Page 1 of 6

Nicaragua

(Away)
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0
Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0
Nicaragua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadeloupe 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Sint Maarten 6 2 0 4 6:15 6
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nicaragua 6 5 1 0 17:1 16
2 Dominican Republic 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Montserrat 6 3 0 3 9:14 9
4 Barbados 6 0 0 6 7:26 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 French Guiana 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 3 0 3 13:14 9
3 Bermuda 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Belize 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guyana 5 5 0 0 20:5 15
2 Puerto Rico 6 4 0 2 22:10 12
3 Antigua and Barbuda 6 1 1 4 9:22 4
4 Bahamas 5 0 1 4 7:21 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)