Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barbados vs United States Virgin Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hinkson C.
86' Event
Reid-Stephen N.
Assist: Hoyte S.
90' Event
Reid-Stephen N.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Barbados and United States Virgin Islands finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barbados.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barbados
33%
Draws
27%
United States Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Barbados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Barbados carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Barbados a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barbados have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Barbados Clean Sheet 68%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados United States Virgin Islands
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Barbados
0:5
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs United States Virgin Islands
3:0
Oct 15, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Barbados
0:4
Oct 13, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Nov 18, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs United States Virgin Islands
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid-Stephen N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hinkson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 50 / 100
United States Virgin Islands 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados United States Virgin Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbados's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

United States Virgin Islands let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

United States Virgin Islands lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS United States Virgin Islands
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados

(Home)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
Page 1 of 7

United States Virgin Islands

(Away)
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2
American Samoa
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
13 Oct
Bahamas
3 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barbados440017:412
2Bahamas411210:134
3United States Virgin Islands40134:141
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belize44009:012
2Anguilla41033:43
3Turks and Caicos Islands41032:103
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis431010:310
2Cayman Islands42114:57
3British Virgin Islands40041:70
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams