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Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Liga Pro Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
Barcelona SC Logo

Barcelona SC

1 - 1
FT
Guayaquil City Logo

Guayaquil City

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Lugo M.
45'
Laurino S.
63' Event
Mero E.
Assist: Diaz D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Barcelona SC and Guayaquil City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Barcelona SC
30%
Draws
33%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guayaquil City come out ahead of Barcelona SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Barcelona SC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 20%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SC Guayaquil City
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Barcelona SC
0:0
Feb 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Guayaquil City vs Barcelona SC
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetto D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 42 / 100
Guayaquil City 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SC Guayaquil City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Guayaquil City has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Barcelona SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SC VS Guayaquil City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
Page 1 of 6

Guayaquil City

(Away)
10 Oct
Guayaquil City
3 : 2
Emelec
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)