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Barcelona SC vs Leones del Norte

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Gomez J.
Assist: Benedetto D.
44'
Sub
Kreiman B. In: Arrieta S.
Out: Kreiman B.
47'
Intriago J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Barcelona SC and Leones del Norte finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barcelona SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Barcelona SC
40%
Draws
29%
Leones del Norte
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Leones del Norte haven't matched Barcelona SC's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 18%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SC Leones del Norte
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Leones del Norte
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinonez Ruiz J. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Leones del Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepinos E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 32 / 100
Leones del Norte 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SC Leones del Norte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Leones del Norte let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Barcelona SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SC VS Leones del Norte
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle19151343:1946
2Aucas1995521:1932
3Barcelona SC1987421:1431
4U. Catolica1985629:1829
5Macara2085721:2129
6LDU Quito1984719:1528
7Dep. Cuenca1984719:2128
8Emelec1976616:1727
9Leones del Norte1966720:2024
10Tecnico U.19721019:2023
11Orense1965822:2623
12Guayaquil City1965817:2223
13Delfin2065913:1923
14Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
15Libertad1956818:2521
16Manta1934127:2413