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Barcelona SC vs Libertad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Liga Pro Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Benedetto D.
Assist: Perlaza R.
37'
Perlaza R.
46'
Sub
Perlaza R. In: Perlaza J.
Out: Perlaza R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Barcelona SC and Libertad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barcelona SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Barcelona SC
30%
Draws
33%
Libertad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Libertad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barcelona SC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 19%
Libertad Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SC Libertad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Libertad
1:0
Mar 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Barcelona SC
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Barcelona SC
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Libertad
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Libertad
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetto D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Libertad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 36 / 100
Libertad 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SC Libertad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Libertad has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Barcelona SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SC VS Libertad
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
Page 1 of 6

Libertad

(Away)
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)