Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barcelona SC vs Libertad

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Benedetto D.
Assist: Perlaza R.
37'
Perlaza R.
46'
Sub
Perlaza R. In: Perlaza J.
Out: Perlaza R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Barcelona SC and Libertad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barcelona SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Barcelona SC
22%
Draws
18%
Libertad
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Barcelona SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barcelona SC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 20%
Libertad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SC Libertad
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Libertad
1:0
Mar 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Barcelona SC
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Barcelona SC
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Libertad
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Libertad
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetto D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Libertad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 58 / 100
Libertad 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SC Libertad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Libertad has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Barcelona SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SC VS Libertad
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona SC

(Home)
19 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 0
Libertad
16 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Guayaquil City
12 Jul
Emelec
0 : 0
Barcelona SC
05 Jul
Barcelona SC
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
02 Jun
Tecnico U.
1 : 0
Barcelona SC
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Libertad

(Away)
21 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Delfin
19 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 0
Libertad
15 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
12 Jul
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Libertad
04 Jul
Libertad
1 : 3
Leones del Norte
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle20161349:2049
2U. Catolica21105633:1935
3Aucas20105522:1935
4Barcelona SC2197523:1634
5Macara2085721:2129
6LDU Quito2084819:1628
7Dep. Cuenca2084819:2328
8Leones del Norte2076721:2027
9Emelec2076717:2327
10Guayaquil City2075818:2226
11Mushuc Runa2066826:3024
12Libertad2166919:2624
13Tecnico U.20721119:2123
14Orense2065923:2823
15Delfin21651013:2023
16Manta2034137:2513
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)