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Barcelona SP vs Guarulhos

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Paulista A4 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2021 game between Barcelona SP and Guarulhos finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarulhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Barcelona SP
6%
Draws
90%
Guarulhos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarulhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarulhos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guarulhos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Barcelona SP Clean Sheet 10%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SP Guarulhos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2021 Paulista A4
Barcelona SP vs Guarulhos
4:5
Sep 5, 2021 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Barcelona SP
2:1
May 19, 2019 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Barcelona SP
4:0
Apr 8, 2019 Paulista A4
Barcelona SP vs Guarulhos
0:0
Jul 9, 2017 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Barcelona SP
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SP 10 / 100
Guarulhos 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SP Guarulhos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Guarulhos let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Barcelona SP scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Guarulhos registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SP VS Guarulhos
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Matonense1072113:523
2Taquaritinga1052315:817
3Catanduva FC1043312:1115
4Inter de Bebedouro1043315:915
5Fernandopolis1014513:207
6America SP101278:235
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1XV de Jau1072112:723
2Gremio Prudente1052315:1017
3Vocem1044210:716
4Assisense104159:1113
5Santacruzense102357:89
6Osvaldo Cruz101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco SP1072118:823
2Independente SP1053212:918
3Sao-Carlense1045112:617
4Sao Carlos103259:1311
5Itapirense101365:126
6Mogi Mirim101363:116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1082018:526
2Paulista1053218:718
3Colorado Caieiras1033412:1312
4Mauaense1032514:2211
5Guarulhos1023514:219
6Barcelona SP1013613:216
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Suzano1082024:326
2Maua FC1063123:921
3Uniao Mogi1041515:1013
4ECUS SP1041512:2213
5Manthiqueira1033413:1212
6Atletico Mogi1000106:370