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Barcelona SP vs Maua FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Danilo
Own Goal
66' Event
Pedro
90' Event
Victorio Junior O.

AI Match Summary

Maua FC in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Barcelona SP
6%
Draws
90%
Maua FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Barcelona SP haven't matched Maua FC's recent run of results.
  • Maua FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Barcelona SP Clean Sheet 12%
Maua FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SP Maua FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Barcelona SP
6:0
May 16, 2026 Paulista B
Barcelona SP vs Maua FC
1:2
Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4
Maua FC vs Barcelona SP
0:0
May 19, 2023 Paulista A4
Barcelona SP vs Maua FC
1:0
Nov 8, 2020 Paulista A4
Barcelona SP vs Maua FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Victorio Junior O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Maua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SP 10 / 100
Maua FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SP Maua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maua FC conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Barcelona SP scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Maua FC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SP VS Maua FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona SP

(Home)
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0
Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0
Barcelona SP
23 May
Barcelona SP
2 : 3
Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 6

Maua FC

(Away)
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0
Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Itaqua
5 : 1
Maua FC
06 Jun
Maua FC
0 : 0
Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jose Bonifacio EC1064017:622
2America SP1054113:719
3Assisense1035217:1514
4Tupa1041514:1613
5Riopretano101459:167
6Santa Fe SP1020810:206
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independente SP1080237:724
2Matonense1071228:1022
3Sao Carlos1043319:1115
4Santacruzense1042419:1314
5Mogi Mirim1040615:1512
6Catanduvense1000104:660
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1072113:623
2Paulinense105059:1615
3Audax-SP1051415:913
4Paulinia FU1031611:1410
5Votoraty SP1021712:197
6Guarulhos1051419:154
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itaqua1081121:625
2Maua FC1044220:1516
3Uniao Mogi1052314:1314
4Manthiqueira1042417:1714
5Mauaense1033410:1012
6Barcelona SP1000105:260
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)