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Barcelona vs Alaves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Camp Nou, Barcelona
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barcelona host Alaves in the LaLiga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Barcelona at 2.97 goals for, 1.1 against; Alaves at 1.52 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Barcelona have won 4 to Alaves's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (2.69 - 1.06) back Barcelona to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Barcelona
15%
Draws
5%
Alaves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Barcelona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Barcelona taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Barcelona here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Barcelona Clean Sheet 20%
Alaves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona Alaves
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 10
Draws 0 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 LaLiga
Alaves vs Barcelona
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Alaves
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Alaves
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Barcelona
0:3
Feb 3, 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Barcelona
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona 85 / 100
Alaves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona Alaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Barcelona has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alaves has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona VS Alaves
4.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona

(Home)
17 Oct
Betis
2 : 5
Barcelona
13 Oct
Galatasaray
1 : 4
Barcelona
10 Oct
Barcelona
3 : 0
Getafe
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
Page 1 of 6

Alaves

(Away)
18 Oct
Celta Vigo
2 : 1
Alaves
10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 9 9 0 0 39:9 27
2 Atl. Madrid 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
3 Real Madrid 9 7 0 2 23:9 21
4 Betis 9 6 1 2 16:14 19
5 Real Sociedad 9 5 1 3 17:17 16
6 Sevilla 9 4 2 3 14:16 14
7 Alaves 9 3 2 4 13:10 11
8 Celta Vigo 9 2 5 2 10:7 11
9 Dep. A Coruna 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
10 Osasuna 9 3 2 4 10:18 11
11 Ath Bilbao 7 2 3 2 7:6 9
12 Villarreal 9 2 3 4 13:13 9
13 Espanyol 9 2 2 5 11:12 8
14 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
15 Getafe 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 Racing Santander 9 2 2 5 13:25 8
17 Levante 8 1 4 3 12:16 7
18 Elche 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
19 Valencia 9 1 3 5 6:15 6
20 Malaga 9 0 4 5 6:18 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)