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Barcelona vs Ath Bilbao

Spain Spain

LaLiga Camp Nou, Barcelona
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Espart X.
37' Event
Raphinha
Assist: Pedri
48'
Guruzeta G.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Barcelona and Ath Bilbao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barcelona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Barcelona
20%
Draws
28%
Ath Bilbao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barcelona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Barcelona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barcelona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Barcelona have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Barcelona Clean Sheet 20%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona Ath Bilbao
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 26 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.81 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Ath Bilbao
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Barcelona
0:1
Jan 7, 2026 Super Cup
Barcelona vs Ath Bilbao
5:0
Nov 22, 2025 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Ath Bilbao
4:0
May 25, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Barcelona
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona Compare

Top Goalscorer Raphinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Ath Bilbao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona 85 / 100
Ath Bilbao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona Ath Bilbao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barcelona scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Barcelona went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ath Bilbao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona VS Ath Bilbao
3.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona

(Home)
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
13 Sept
Levante
2 : 4
Barcelona
09 Sept
Barcelona
5 : 1
Feyenoord
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
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Ath Bilbao

(Away)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)