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Barco vs Barbadas-Bentraces Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Herrera A.
90' Event
Castro B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Barco and Barbadas-Bentraces finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Barco
15%
Draws
26%
Barbadas-Bentraces
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Barco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Barco a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barco have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Barco Clean Sheet 68%
Barbadas-Bentraces Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barco Barbadas-Bentraces
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Barbadas-Bentraces
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Barco
1:2
Mar 3, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Barco
2:1
Oct 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Barbadas-Bentraces
6:0
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Barbadas-Bentraces
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barco Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Barbadas-Bentraces Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barco 95 / 100
Barbadas-Bentraces 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barco Barbadas-Bentraces

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barco scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Barbadas-Bentraces conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Barco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barco VS Barbadas-Bentraces
0.88 Goals Scored 1.14
2 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Barco

(Home)
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
Page 1 of 6

Barbadas-Bentraces

(Away)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)