Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barendrecht vs VVOG

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Barendrecht Logo

Barendrecht

3 - 0
FT
VVOG Logo

VVOG

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Olijfveld R.
76' Event
Vorthoren N.
86' Event
Bakour M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Barendrecht in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barendrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Barendrecht
15%
Draws
26%
VVOG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barendrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Barendrecht have won more games recently than VVOG.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Barendrecht taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barendrecht have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%
VVOG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barendrecht VVOG
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.86 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Derde Divisie
Barendrecht vs VVOG
3:0
Sep 6, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Barendrecht
0:2
Mar 29, 2022 Derde Divisie
Barendrecht vs VVOG
5:1
Feb 12, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Barendrecht
2:3
May 8, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Barendrecht
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barendrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Olijfveld R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vorthoren N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

VVOG Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barendrecht 56 / 100
VVOG 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barendrecht VVOG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barendrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barendrecht scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

VVOG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Barendrecht remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barendrecht VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barendrecht

(Home)
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
05 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 3
Barendrecht
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2
Katwijk
22 Aug
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 2
Barendrecht
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

VVOG

(Away)
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1
VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4
VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3
ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4
Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0
VVOG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)