Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bari U19 vs Palermo U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sidibe F.
57' Event
Anghileri G.
84' Event
Spadavecchia P.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Bari U19 and Palermo U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bari U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bari U19
15%
Draws
36%
Palermo U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bari U19 come out ahead of Palermo U19 on wins alone.
  • Bari U19 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Bari U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Palermo U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari U19 Palermo U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Palermo U19
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Bari U19
0:4
May 3, 2025 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Bari U19
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Palermo U19
1:6
Feb 3, 2024 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Palermo U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spadavecchia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Palermo U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anghileri G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari U19 77 / 100
Palermo U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari U19 Palermo U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bari U19 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Palermo U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bari U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bari U19 VS Palermo U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
29 Aug
Bari U19
1 : 0
Padova U19
09 May
Benevento U19
2 : 1
Bari U19
02 May
Bari U19
3 : 2
Salernitana U19
Page 1 of 6

Palermo U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
08 Sept
Palermo U19
3 : 1
Pescara U19
29 Aug
Vicenza U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
09 May
Palermo U19
0 : 1
Perugia U19
02 May
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Palermo U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)