Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bari U19 vs Salernitana U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Italia M.
45' Event
Verza D.
70' Event
Keita S.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 game between Bari U19 and Salernitana U19 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bari U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bari U19
6%
Draws
4%
Salernitana U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bari U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bari U19 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bari U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Salernitana U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari U19 Salernitana U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Salernitana U19
3:2
Jan 17, 2026 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Bari U19
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Salernitana U19
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Bari U19
0:0
Mar 2, 2024 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Bari U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Italia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Salernitana U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Verza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barba L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari U19 85 / 100
Salernitana U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari U19 Salernitana U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salernitana U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Bari U19 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Bari U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bari U19 VS Salernitana U19
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari U19

(Home)
09 May
Benevento U19
2 : 1
Bari U19
02 May
Bari U19
3 : 2
Salernitana U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Avellino U19
1 : 1
Bari U19
11 Apr
Bari U19
2 : 2
Cosenza U19
Page 1 of 6

Salernitana U19

(Away)
09 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
02 May
Bari U19
3 : 2
Salernitana U19
25 Apr
Salernitana U19
2 : 2
Cosenza U19
18 Apr
Perugia U19
3 : 1
Salernitana U19
11 Apr
Salernitana U19
0 : 4
Empoli U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Como U1930187558:3161
2Lecco U1930186665:5060
3Modena U1930167755:3855
4AlbinoLeffe U19301451158:5947
5Reggiana U19301371058:4446
6Pro Vercelli U19301441244:4646
7Entella U19301013747:3843
8Sampdoria U19301251357:4841
9Vicenza U19301081245:5338
10Sudtirol U19309101136:3737
11Udinese U1930991253:5036
12Cittadella U1930991242:4936
13Renate U19307121134:4433
14Union Brescia U1930931831:4630
15Venezia U1930681632:6326
16Padova U1930671734:5325
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Empoli U1930235274:1974
2Perugia U1930167747:2755
3Pescara U1930157851:3752
4Avellino U19301312554:3651
5Pisa U1930139854:4148
6Spezia U19301531255:4348
7Catanzaro U19301461042:3548
8Benevento U19301351242:5044
9Ternana U19301191051:5442
10Monopoli U19301071339:5037
11Bari U1930981342:4235
12Ascoli U1930891347:5033
13Palermo U19305121335:4327
14Cosenza U1930691532:6227
15Salernitana U1930661828:6224
16Crotone U19301101920:6213
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)