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Bari U20 vs Ascoli U20

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Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Bari U20 Logo

Bari U20

3 - 1
FT
Ascoli U20 Logo

Ascoli U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bari U20 in this Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bari U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bari U20
15%
Draws
32%
Ascoli U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bari U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Bari U20 haven't matched Ascoli U20's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Bari U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bari U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ascoli U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari U20 Ascoli U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2013 Primavera - Group C
Ascoli U20 vs Bari U20
1:0
Oct 27, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Bari U20 vs Ascoli U20
1:2
Apr 21, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Ascoli U20 vs Bari U20
0:1
Dec 10, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Bari U20 vs Ascoli U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari U20 85 / 100
Ascoli U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari U20 Ascoli U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli U20 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Bari U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Bari U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bari U20 VS Ascoli U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Lazio U20
3 : 0
Bari U20
13 Apr
Bari U20
4 : 3
Juve Stabia U20
06 Apr
Ternana U20
1 : 2
Bari U20
03 Apr
Bari U20
3 : 1
Pescara U20
16 Mar
Bari U20
1 : 1
Crotone U20
Page 1 of 6

Ascoli U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Pescara U20
1 : 2
Ascoli U20
13 Apr
Ascoli U20
0 : 4
Catania U20
06 Apr
Lanciano U20
1 : 3
Ascoli U20
03 Apr
Ascoli U20
1 : 4
Palermo U20
23 Mar
Ascoli U20
0 : 2
Juve Stabia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)