Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bari U20 vs Nocerina U20

Italy Italy

Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Bari U20 Logo

Bari U20

2 - 0
FT
Nocerina U20 Logo

Nocerina U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bari U20 in this Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bari U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bari U20
15%
Draws
32%
Nocerina U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bari U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Nocerina U20 haven't matched Bari U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bari U20 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bari U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Nocerina U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari U20 Nocerina U20
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Bari U20 vs Nocerina U20
2:0
Sep 28, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Nocerina U20 vs Bari U20
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari U20 75 / 100
Nocerina U20 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari U20 Nocerina U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nocerina U20 conceded in 96% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bari U20's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bari U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bari U20 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Lazio U20
3 : 0
Bari U20
13 Apr
Bari U20
4 : 3
Juve Stabia U20
06 Apr
Ternana U20
1 : 2
Bari U20
03 Apr
Bari U20
3 : 1
Pescara U20
16 Mar
Bari U20
1 : 1
Crotone U20
Page 1 of 7

Nocerina U20

(Away)
21 Apr
Nocerina U20
1 : 4
Palermo U20
14 Apr
Juve Stabia U20
2 : 1
Nocerina U20
04 Apr
Nocerina U20
2 : 1
Pescara U20
31 Mar
Lazio U20
4 : 0
Nocerina U20
24 Mar
Nocerina U20
3 : 1
Gubbio U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)