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Bari vs Cosenza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Giannini E.
53' Event
Maggiore G.
54'
Sub
Ndow A. In: Palmieri R.
Out: Ndow A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Bari and Cosenza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bari
30%
Draws
12%
Cosenza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cosenza haven't matched Bari's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bari's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Bari Clean Sheet 68%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Cosenza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Bari vs Cosenza
1:0
May 1, 2025 Serie B
Cosenza vs Bari
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Serie B
Bari vs Cosenza
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Serie B
Cosenza vs Bari
4:1
Dec 23, 2023 Serie B
Bari vs Cosenza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bari Compare

Top Goalscorer Maggiore G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cosenza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 95 / 100
Cosenza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Cosenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bari found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Cosenza let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Bari went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Cosenza
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
04 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 1
Bari
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
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Cosenza

(Away)
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)