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Bari vs Giugliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bari host Giugliano in the Serie C - Group C. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Giugliano have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Bari have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Bari slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2024, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Bari. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bari
15%
Draws
32%
Giugliano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bari lately — more wins on the board than Giugliano.
  • Win probability leans Bari's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Bari Clean Sheet 20%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Giugliano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Bari vs Giugliano
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 85 / 100
Giugliano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Giugliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Bari found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Giugliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Bari remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Giugliano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
04 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 1
Bari
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
Page 1 of 6

Giugliano

(Away)
03 Oct
Giugliano
1 : 0
Barletta
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)